Very Warm Start to Week, Wet End to Week
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Locations through out South-Central Alabama will stay dry today and by this afternoon, we should see mainly sunny sky with highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s.
VERY WARM TOMORROW: Tomorrow may very well be the warmest day of 2016 so far for much of Alabama. We are going to seeing troughing to the west of Alabama and ridging over Alabama. That increase in thickness heights will allow for temperatures to soar well into the 80s for South-Central Alabama. The GFS shows a high of 88F while the NAM is printing a high of 83F for Montgomery. The record high for Montgomery on Tuesday is 86F set back in 1973, so we may very well set or at least tie the record tomorrow. Expect plenty of sunshine with no threat of rain.
MIDWEEK AND BEYOND: The ridge breaks down Wednesday as a through drops into the eastern U.S. Ahead of this trough, a cold front will be a focal point for the threat of sever weather for the Ohio Valley, and perhaps as far south as Alabama. On the day 3 convective outlook, the SPC has portions of NW Alabama under a “marginal” risk of severe weather. However, moisture and lift will be minimal over Alabama, so we are not expecting anything too significant. The front stalls across South Alabama and it looks as though we will have to leave the threat of showers and a few storms in the forecast Thursday through Saturday. Certainly no wash outs, but weak disturbances will move along the front and will help enhance rain chances especially for our southern counties. With the added clouds and chance of rain, we are going to see temperatures cooling off with 70s dropping into the 60s by the weekend.
NEXT WEEK: It looks as though we will finally see a deeper trough push south and that will clear us out as we head Sunday into Monday. we are forecasting generally dry conditions with more sun than clouds. Temperatures return to near seasonal values with upper 60s and lower 70s for highs and lows in the 40s.