Warmer Temperatures and Better Rain Chances
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Monday will be another nice day as we warm up. Morning temperatures will dip into the 50s. Highs under a partly cloudy sky will move back towards the lower 80s. On Tuesday, the surface flow really comes around to the south with moisture increasing across the area as dew points climb back into the upper 50s. There is still some question as to whether or not we see widely scattered showers on Tuesday, and I think most of us remain dry. Highs should be in the mid 80s and you are going to really start to notice the humidity levels inching back up too.
REST OF WORK WEEK: The upper flow goes nearly zonal or slightly southwesterly from Wednesday through the start of the weekend helping to provide moisture aloft. Southwesterly flow usually means an active weather pattern for the state as it will continue to provide upper level energy impulses across the region. That combined with low level moisture and daytime heating, means we will have the potential for showers or a thunderstorm just about each day. Lows will be in the 60s with highs in the lower 80s, so it will be fairly typical as we push toward the latter part of May. Rainfall through the end of this coming week does not appear to be be very heavy as the main rain threat remains well to our west but just east of the trough in the southern Rockies. We are not expecting any severe weather this week either, just know that at times this week, you will have to dodge some raindrops.
NEXT WEEKEND: Showers and storms remain in the forecast for Saturday, but by Sunday, the models are showing a bit more consistency with a closed low developing over the South Carolina/Georgia area and becoming detached from the main westerly flow pattern. With the closed low east of Alabama, so we stay on the dry side of the closed low and our rain chances are expected to lower by Sunday.