Showers and Storms are in the Forecast

MORE STORMS TOMORROW: Sunday is going to be almost identical to today as it should be another relatively wet day for much of the Southeast. The major trough moves slowly across the eastern half of the country. The trough should drag a cold front into the area keeping our chance for showers and storms high once again. Clouds and numerous storms will keep temperatures down once again with highs in the mid 80s. Tomorrow we could see a few strong storms with gusty winds, small hail, and frequent lightning. Severe weather is not expected, but the SPC does have much of the Alabama outlined in a “marginal risk” of severe weather. This is level one of five levels on the risk scale.

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TRACKING THE TROPICS: First Bonnie continues to push towards the east at 15 mph and is back down to a depression after regaining tropical storm strength yesterday. Winds of 35 mph continue and it is no threat to the U.S. Something that will threaten the U.S. Gulf Coast is what will likely become Colin this weekend.

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The trough approaching the the Southeast will keep the feature from impacting us in Alabama, as it will sweep this system to the east and heading towards the Florida Peninsula. The latest specifics about the feature are as follows: Widespread thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea are currently poorly organized. A low pressure system is expected to form in association with this disturbed weather over the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico or the adjacent waters by tomorrow and move generally northward. Subsequently, this low is likely to develop into a tropical cyclone as it moves northeastward across the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico early in the week.

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Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and flooding are possible over portions of the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the Florida Peninsula during the next several days. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system. Over the next 48 hours, the NHC gives this a high 70% of formation.

THE WEEK AHEAD: Great weather ahead as the trough pushes east of the state. For Central and North Alabama, we dry out once again on Monday and stay that way through the work week as the northwesterly flow aloft ushers drier air into the area. Dew points should drop off nicely by midweek with values into the 50s. Temperatures will be fairly seasonal with readings in the upper 80s. By Friday and into next weekend, an upper ridge to our west will gradually slide eastward to become the main player in our weather pattern. This means a return of moisture along with summer-like temperatures with the highs by Friday and Saturday back into the mid 90s. Those daily hit and miss showers will probably also return. But, hey, we get a few days off from the heat and humidity to start the work week.

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