Sunny & Dry, with Hotter Temperatures Returning

Happy Father’s Day to all you dads out there! Temperatures are warmer today, but a light easterly/southeasterly breeze is making things more comfortable. Highs this afternoon are in the upper 80s and dewpoints are in upper 50s and lower 60s this evening.

RAINFREE INTO THE NEW WORK WEEK: High pressure at the surface over the Mid-Atlantic states this morning will expand southeastward over the next few days, giving us at least three days of fair weather. Today’s highs in the upper 80s will rise as we head toward the new work week, making the 90s tomorrow and staying on the hot side as the upper ridge over the Southeast builds our way too. Lower and middle 90s will be common.

MIDWEEK RAIN CHANCES: As the trough establishes itself over the East, a cold front will descend the backside of the trough at midweek. The upper ridge should protect Alabama unfortunately from rain chances as the front brushes by on Wednesday. We could see a few more isolated storms than we will see on Monday or Tuesday. Expect more isolated storms on Thursday as well. As the trough continues to deepen to our east through the end of the week, another front will bring a chance of scattered showers and storms by Friday.

WEEKEND UNCERTAINTY: It’s getting increasingly hard to get a front through Alabama as we get into summer. There is some disagreement among the models about the weekend’s weather. The GFS brings the front through on Friday settings the stage for a dry and slightly less humid weekend. The European takes its time ramping up rain chances over the weekend. We will be watching developments in this area.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR: Late this afternoon, our newest tropical cyclone developed in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. The center of Tropical Depression Four was located near latitude 19.9 North, longitude 94.7 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 8 mph, and this motion with a slight decrease in forward speed is expected during the next day or two. On the forecast track, the center of the depression is expected to move inland over eastern Mexico on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is expected, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight or early Monday. The minimum central pressure recently reported by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).

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Have a great night a wonderful week ahead!
Ryan

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