Typical July Weather Pattern

STEAMY SUMMER DAY: Hot and humid weather for us again today. The first half of the day will have seen plenty of sunshine across the state and that will allow temperatures to climb their way into lower and mid 90s. Those temperatures will allow instability to build and early this afternoon we will begin to see our daily dose of showers and storms popping up across the Alabama landscape. As we continue to see each day, these will persist through the afternoon and evening hours, before slowly winding down after sunset.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: There is a weak upper trough not moving much over Tennessee and that means standard mid-summer weather for our state through the rest of the week. Each day will see abundant morning sunshine, followed by scattered, mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Best chance of a passing storm will come during the heat of the day roughly from 12pm through about 8pm. Each day, most locations will be staying dry, but each day, there will be storms that develop across the state and these storms are the only heat relief this time of year. Afternoon highs will be mostly in the 92-96 degree range, which is right where they should be for mid-July.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Hot, humid days, a partly sunny sky, with those typical afternoon showers and storms are the forecast. The upper-levels of the atmosphere look to become a bit more conducive for thunderstorm development this weekend and for that reason the coverage of scattered storms will be a bit higher perhaps as early as Friday, but definitely for Saturday and Sunday. This does not mean the weekend will be a “washout”, but there will be scattered storms from time to time, mainly the second half of the days. Temperatures will be in the mid-70s for lows, while lower to mid 90s should greet you outside during the afternoons.

NEXT WEEK: Yesterday we were talking about the ridge that was to set up west of the state that could spell very hot weather for the state. Well the global model guidance is now strongly suggesting this to occur over the center of the nation. We see it every year in the form of very hot weather for the Plains and Mississippi Valley, but the good news, at this time for us in Alabama, we will be just on the periphery of that upper high, meaning the weather probably won’t change much. Also, when on the periphery of these heat bubbles, we can see a bit more in the way of convection, “The Ring of Fire” . Overall the forecast looks to be hot, humid days, with the daily threat of those scattered showers and storms. Highs mostly in the lower to mid-90s are expected for Alabama.

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Have a wonderful Wednesday!
Ryan

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